There is about a 65% chance that neutral weather conditions will prevail in the Northern Hemisphere this spring with no El Ni帽o or La Ni帽a, up from 60% last month, a U.S. government weather forecaster said March 12.
The El Ni帽o-Southern Oscillation-neutral (ENSO) weather pattern is marked by average long-term ocean temperatures, tropical rainfall and atmospheric winds.
The chances of the El Ni帽o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral conditions continuing through summer 2020 is 55%, the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) said in its monthly forecast.
ENSO neutral conditions refer to those periods in which neither El Ni帽o nor La Ni帽a are present, often coinciding with the transition between the two weather patterns, according to the CPC.
The El Ni帽o pattern brings a warming of ocean surface temperatures in the eastern and central Pacific every few years, and is the opposite of La Ni帽a.
El Ni帽o emerged in 2018 for the first time since 2016 and has been linked to crop damage, fires and flash floods.
(Reporting by Sumita Layek and Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Lisa Shumaker)
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